zephyreks

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zephyreks,

Ah yes, because housing as a right rather than an investment is a bad thing.

zephyreks,

Speaking at a news conference at the United Nations on Saturday, the minister called a 10-point peace blueprint promoted by Kyiv “completely not feasible”.

Kyiv’s plan:

Energy security, with a focus on price restrictions on Russian energy resources

Restoring Ukraine’s territorial integrity and Russia reaffirming it according to the UN Charter

Withdrawal of Russian troops and the cessation of hostilities, the restoration of Ukraine’s state borders with Russia

Justice, including the establishment of a special tribunal to prosecute Russian war crimes

building security architecture in the Euro-Atlantic space, including guarantees for Ukraine.

What leverage does Ukraine think they have to institute such a blatantly pro-Ukraine peace resolution? Based on Ukraine’s proposed plan, you’d think they were at the sea of Azov and halfway to Moscow, rather than stuck in a few salients along the same frontline they were at a year ago.

zephyreks,

That’s not the point. The point is whether Ukraine’s peace plan makes sense in the context of the current situation in Ukraine. It doesn’t, and frankly it’s an indication that Ukraine really doesn’t want peace right now because they dont think they have the leverage to demand a fair peace.

zephyreks,

So… What leverage does Ukraine have to make that happen?

zephyreks,

Ah yes, because the Dui Hua Foundation is so reliable.

zephyreks,

Transit is profitable, though. Second-order and third-order effects make transit extremely profitable even by the most pessimistic estimates.

zephyreks,

India and China both understand that they aren’t each other’s greatest military rivals solely because the Himalayas make any large military action impossible. They also understand that they aren’t each other’s greatest economic rivals because their states of development complement each other.

zephyreks,

That’s literally the exact thing rewarded by capitalism. Don’t blame the player, blame the game

zephyreks,

Vietnam’s asking for a US arms deal so that they can get leverage on their Russian arms deal…

Vietnam hasn’t exactly had the best recent history with the US, after all. They’ve also shown a really strong capability for asymmetric warfare, so I doubt they’re that concerned about self-defence with advanced technologies either, particularly when those technologies were designed under the assumptions of an offensive war against Russia and/or China.

zephyreks,

Where are you getting this saying from lol

zephyreks,

China doesn’t actually want a war, nor do they want to give any indication that they want to escalate tensions.

China stands the most to gain in a peaceful world order where they never have to use their military. Their military doctrine is defensive in nature, as is their nuclear doctrine (which, contrary to US/Russian policy, explicitly prohibits first-strike capability).

With a peaceful world order, relations with Taiwan can be normalized and the economy can continue to grow without impediment. Without the threat of encirclement and invasion, China doesn’t have much means to justify their military budget (given that they are already regionally superior and have no real global power projection capability) and would see much more domestic backlash to their rapidly expanding military. China’s core domestic geographical goals are to secure a more robust supply of O&G, secure the Himalayas as their southern border against potential Indian aggression, and prevent Xinjiang from devolving into a humanitarian crisis as it tries to integrate the (previously) predominantly rural Xinjiang population into the urbanized world that China has created.

When US-China relations were better back in 2018, the US even helped Chinese interests by striking ETIM training camps near the border between China and Afghanistan.

zephyreks,

Fun fact: The Moscow Times is majority-owned by a Chinese businessman.

zephyreks,

Sounds like you’re pro-vigilantism to me.

Reflecting on Canada's F-35 decision: F-35 fighter jets can only fly 55% of the time (www.ft.com)

The fleet’s mission-capable rate — or the percentage of time a plane can perform one of its assigned missions — was 55 per cent as of March 2023, far below the Pentagon’s goal of 85 per cent to 90 per cent, the Government Accountability Office said on Thursday....

Reflecting on Canada's F-35 decision: F-35 fighter jets can only fly 50% of the time (archive.ph)

The fleet’s mission-capable rate — or the percentage of time a plane can perform one of its assigned missions — was 55 per cent as of March 2023, far below the Pentagon’s goal of 85 per cent to 90 per cent, the Government Accountability Office said on Thursday....

zephyreks,

Dude isn’t wrong: fossil fuels are just really good for a bunch of industrial operations. Doesn’t stop China from leading the world in the manufacture and deployment of solar panels, manufacture and deployment of wind turbines, development and deployment of nuclear power plants, development and deployment of hydroelectric power plants…

zephyreks,

Most of China’s increased electricity demand is to bring poor people who are currently farming in rural fields into urban jobs within big cities. It’s to help meet the growing demand of a population that currently has:

  1. 296 cars/1000p (US: 908/1000p)
  2. 73.7% Internet connectivity (US: 92%)
  3. Limited heating capacity because of very little natural gas supply (US: this basically isn’t a problem because the US has infinite gas reserves)
  4. Rolling blackouts in the summer because of AC use since China and other countries that make up the Global South have been disproportionately affected by climate change (US: this isn’t really a problem)

But yes, please feel free to blame the rich… but please don’t ignore the fact that you ARE the rich.

zephyreks,

Because on a per-capita basis, you still outpollute China by a factor of at least 2?

Because unlike China, your government moves incredibly slowly and needs more momentum to actually accomplish change?

zephyreks,

Isn’t that less efficient because of motor losses, drag, etc? It’s also heavily dependent on geography.

zephyreks,

China is still leading in solar, wind, nuclear, and hydro deployment…

I’m sure China would be happy to harness geothermal too, but they don’t really have dense geothermal capacity to exploit.

zephyreks,

Watch as Canada’s so-called allies do jack shit because relations with India, a rising power they can use to futilely attempt to encircle China, are clearly more important than relations with a close ally that’s fought for them, lost domestic industries for them, soured international relations for them, and has been their largest trading partner for decades.

Seriously, what the fuck? The US has had an incredibly weak position on this ordeal that’s entirely unexpected from such a close ally and feels far more like something coming out of Germany or France - aligned by being part of the West but not in terms of actual interests. This is what the US has said publicly:

“They are certainly serious allegations, and we believe in order to determine how credible they are, there needs to be a thorough investigation. Prime Minister Trudeau has called for that, and so we’ll see how Canada moves forward on this. It’s certainly well within their capacity to do this, and we urge India as well to participate and cooperate in that investigation. It is important to find out exactly what happened.”

I’m sorry, but what the fuck? We’re talking about a country violating our territorial integrity to commit an assassination in a dense and developed suburb of one of our largest urban centers. This investigation has been going on for months.

Our allies are leaving us out to dry solely because, despite our history of being their steadfast ally, we don’t provide them as much utility as this shiny new country that wasn’t relevant until it suddenly was because the Soviet Union collapsed, they pulled out of the Middle East, and they declared China to be the new big bad.

zephyreks,

To openly condemn an assassination of a Canadian citizen on Canadian soil?

zephyreks,

Ah yes, providing sources and then saying “aight that’s all, don’t let anyone know it’s us because we sure as hell don’t want this linked back to us”

A true ally.

zephyreks,

Khashoggi isn’t Canadian, though. Plus, US-Canada relations are, I’d imagine, a bit tighter than US-Saudi relations… I’d hope, at least.

zephyreks,

When did Russia do the same?

zephyreks,

He wasn’t killed on American soil.

zephyreks,

The US hasn’t even made an indication that they disapprove of India’s actions. There’s no pretext for sanctions.

zephyreks,

Haha ok fair

zephyreks,

Watch as Canada’s so-called allies do jack shit because relations with India, a rising power they can use to futilely attempt to encircle China, are clearly more important than relations with a close ally that’s fought for them, lost domestic industries for them, soured international relations for them, and has been their largest trading partner for decades.

Seriously, what the fuck? The US has had an incredibly weak position on this ordeal that’s entirely unexpected from such a close ally and feels far more like something coming out of Germany or France - aligned by being part of the West but not in terms of actual interests. This is what the US has said publicly:

“They are certainly serious allegations, and we believe in order to determine how credible they are, there needs to be a thorough investigation. Prime Minister Trudeau has called for that, and so we’ll see how Canada moves forward on this. It’s certainly well within their capacity to do this, and we urge India as well to participate and cooperate in that investigation. It is important to find out exactly what happened.”

I’m sorry, but what the fuck? We’re talking about a country violating our territorial integrity to commit an assassination in a dense and developed suburb of one of our largest urban centers. This investigation has been going on for months. This isn’t some backwater in the middle of Nunavut; this is Surrey: the second largest city in the Lower Mainland. It’s not like murders around here are all that common: in 2022, we saw four murders (with most crime being gang-related).

Our allies are leaving us out to dry solely because, despite our history of being their steadfast ally, we don’t provide them as much utility as this shiny new country that wasn’t relevant until it suddenly was because the Soviet Union collapsed, they pulled out of the Middle East, and they declared China to be the new big bad.

zephyreks,

Do either China or India actually care about what happens around Aksai Chin? Nobody lives there and no country is stupid enough to attack over the Himalayas anyway. I always got the vibe that it’s a dick-measuring staring contest that started because the British fucked up their pull out of the region.

It’s not like China actually expects Arunachal Pradesh given that they have basically no ability to project power over the Himalayas and it’s not like India actually expects Aksai Chin given that they also have basically no ability to project power over the Himalayas.

zephyreks,

Meanwhile, this is the US’ public statement on the issue:

“They are certainly serious allegations, and we believe in order to determine how credible they are, there needs to be a thorough investigation. Prime Minister Trudeau has called for that, and so we’ll see how Canada moves forward on this. It’s certainly well within their capacity to do this, and we urge India as well to participate and cooperate in that investigation. It is important to find out exactly what happened.”

It’s clear the US doesn’t give a shit about our interests. It’s not like we haven’t shared the investigation we already did with them.

zephyreks,

Water, oil, lumber, coal…

zephyreks,

That’s a fair assumption if the US didn’t have almost complete access to our investigation. They do, so they know everything we know and they know the Canadian position.

They’re our ally and they’re intricately tied to our security apparatus. They should be standing up for us and, at the very least, making a statement condemning “general assassinations that violate the territorial sovereignty of other countries” or some shit.

zephyreks,
zephyreks,
zephyreks,

The link you sent refers to subsidies from previous years that haven’t actually been paid out yet. The Chinese government did the classic play of “here’s some subsidies jokes haha we’ll totally pay you ten years later if you’re not bankrupt by then haha.”

So… Thanks for helping my point, I guess? For a historical perspective, China’s solar PV subsidies have been almost entirely demand-side with the exception of academic research grants, national labs, and poverty-alleviating policies.

It’s not like subsidizing an emerging industry is that unusual: the problem is usually when people keep subsidizing output from that industry after it’s a mature competitor. German subsidies were at, what, 37c/kWh with 8877MW (8760 hours per year, 25% typical daily efficiency) installed in 2010? Those subsidies are massive, so either Germany is incompetent at solar PV development or neoliberal policies don’t work and the government should have been more active in managing the nascent industry.

zephyreks,

No way! An industrializing nation with the largest (or second largest) population in the world and without access to cheap natural gas has high emissions? Next you’ll tell me that water is wet and Russia is invading Ukraine.

A core issue that’s dominated Chinese policy is robust access to oil. Meanwhile, the core driver of decreasing emissions in most of the West has been the shift from coal to natural gas.

Nowadays, academics are mixed on the true impact of natural gas because of methane leakage (~3%, but methane being something like a 25x more potent GHG than CO2).

zephyreks,

Oh I must have forgotten that storage is free. Silly me.

zephyreks,

(it’s cheaper labour and the fact that Xinjiang is literally the perfect place to deploy solar)

zephyreks,

If Meta’s censoring it, it has to be true.

zephyreks,

You already see dogs at an airport. Travel with dogs is legal, and dogs are already used for bomb and drug patrols.

U.S. asserts support for Canada amid confrontation with India over Sikh activist's death (www.cbc.ca)

Late Tuesday, the U.S. vehemently denied the idea that it has been reluctant to speak publicly on Canada’s behalf amid allegations by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau that the Indian government participated in the extrajudicial killing of a Canadian citizen on Canadian soil....

zephyreks,

This is what the US has said publicly:

“They are certainly serious allegations, and we believe in order to determine how credible they are, there needs to be a thorough investigation. Prime Minister Trudeau has called for that, and so we’ll see how Canada moves forward on this. It’s certainly well within their capacity to do this, and we urge India as well to participate and cooperate in that investigation. It is important to find out exactly what happened.”

That’s the most weak sauce support you could provide.

zephyreks,

Mind you, he’s also a fucking Canadian citizen.

zephyreks,

Watch as Canada’s so-called allies do jack shit because relations with India, a rising power they can use to futilely attempt to encircle China, are clearly more important than relations with a close ally that’s fought for them, lost domestic industries for them, soured international relations for them, and has been their largest trading partner for decades.

Seriously, what the fuck? The US has had an incredibly weak position on this ordeal that’s entirely unexpected from such a close ally and feels far more like something coming out of Germany or France - aligned by being part of the West but not in terms of actual interests. This is what the US has said publicly:

“They are certainly serious allegations, and we believe in order to determine how credible they are, there needs to be a thorough investigation. Prime Minister Trudeau has called for that, and so we’ll see how Canada moves forward on this. It’s certainly well within their capacity to do this, and we urge India as well to participate and cooperate in that investigation. It is important to find out exactly what happened.”

I’m sorry, but what the fuck? We’re talking about a country violating our territorial integrity to commit an assassination in a dense and developed suburb of one of our largest urban centers. This investigation has been going on for months.

Our allies are leaving us out to dry solely because, despite our history of being their steadfast ally, we don’t provide them as much utility as this shiny new country that wasn’t relevant until it suddenly was because the Soviet Union collapsed, they pulled out of the Middle East, and they declared China to be the new big bad.

zephyreks,

The BBC, a British state-sponsored news source, is biased against India, an ex-British colony? No way!

zephyreks,

Would that change anything? Russia is a tiny economy even in the European context. You’re saying Europe couldn’t maintain It’s territorial sovereignty without the US in NATO?

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