Does anyone know what the chances are of Wagner succeeding? Russian's military has been thinned out greatly because of the war so a concentrad attack behind the main front-lines should be effective. Assuming Wagner has access to Russian army intelligence. This Chechen warband seems like a valid thread though but they also look like the next group to try to grab power...if they crush Wagner, that would be a display of strength that could Putin in a corner as well.
The Hypermind prediction market currently estimates the chances of Putin losing power by the end of the year at 40%. Hypermind is usually a pretty good source, and I'd say this estimate is fairly reasonable (a bit high maybe?).
This is insane. I went to Rostov-on-don like 15 years ago. It was my first time out of the country, too. I had college friends from there and I stayed at their house.
I’ve really lost touch with them many years ago. I’m hoping their families are safe. I know one of them is still in the states, I’m think one went back to Rostov. I guess I hope he is not there at the moment.
Word is there was little/no fighting in Rostov. Wagner seems to have taken down a couple Ministry of Defense helicopters there.
Edit: sorry my information was outdated apparently some Chechen troops were sent in.
Russian media report on the first shots fired in Rostov-on-Don, which was occupied by Wagner PMC mercenaries. According to a RIA Novosti correspondent, at least five shots were fired at the headquarters of the Southern Military District, which has been controlled by the Wagnerites since morning.
Shooting near the Astor shopping center in Rostov is also reported - the pro-government telegram channel Mash writes about it. The mercenaries are said to be loaded into armored personnel carriers.
Another state-run media outlet, the RT television channel, reports that Wagnerites opened fire at the entrance to the Rostelecom building.
There is no information about the victims yet, as well as confirmation of the start of clashes between the PMC "Wagner" and the fighters of the Chechen battalion "Akhmat" arriving in Rostov.
Residents of Moscow and the Moscow region have reported receiving calls from unfamiliar numbers with messages from Wagner Group, according to journalist Farida Rustamova.
One person said the caller played the recording of Yevgeny Prigozhin’s statement in which the mercenary leader vowed to “restore justice.”
Another person heard a message from a “robotic male voice” that suggested he join Wagner Group and claimed its units were advancing on Moscow.
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