The RedHat and Canonical oligarchs are well underway in achieving their windows-like linux desktop through systemd and flatpaks and what not, so we may see a small but highly deployed number of immutable distros becoming the forced de-facto standard.
Microsoft continues their new approach at EEEing linux through WSL Azure, and everyone’s happy about it.
Torvalds will eventually die, as will Stallman, so all that’ll be left are the communities, which unfortunately don’t have that much strength/voice.