It’s a pretty reliable statistic that whenever anti-trans legislation goes to a public referendum, it fails. When this kind of stuff is a genuine public vote, the public almost always votes in favor of trans rights.
It’s also a reliable statistic that the more a politician talks about being anti-trans, the worse they do electorally.
Anti-trans legislation is being pushed through by appointed judges, unelected committees, state cabinets, shit like that. It’s not being pushed by a public vote.