credibledefense

Perseverance and Adaptation: Ukraine’s Counteroffensive at Three Months ( warontherocks.com )

Michael Kofman and Rob Lee released another article looking at the counteroffensive’s overall state three months in. If you’ve been paying attention to Kofman’s recent Russian Contingency podcasts, this article mostly echoes these conclusions, just packaged in a format more palatable to a Washington audience. If this is...

U.S. Ramps Up Howitzer Shell Production to Supply Ukraine, Replenish Stockpiles ( archive.is )

Submission StatementThe outcomes of wars are determined in part by the capacity of factions to maintain and replace capabilities as they degrade. While Western stockpiles are large, they are not infinite, and excessive depletion could endanger other allies. Both the existing progress and political commitments reported in this...

The Korea Model: Why an Armistice Offers the Best Hope for Peace in Ukraine ( www.foreignaffairs.com )

In the middle of August 1952, Chinese Premier Zhou Enlai traveled nearly 4,000 miles to Moscow to meet with the Soviet dictator Joseph Stalin. Zhou was acting as an emissary for the leader of China, Mao Zedong. The two Communist powers were allies at the time, but it was not a partnership of equals: the Soviet Union was a...

Attriting Russian Airborne in Bakhmut ( warontherocks.com )

Michael Kofman and Rob Lee released another episode of the Russian Contingency. This episode serves to broaden the focus away from the Zaporizhia offensive, focusing on sustainment, other fronts of the war, and some attempts to predict future developments. While I cannot share a publicly accessible version of this podcast, I...

Ukraine Struggles to Scale Offensive Operations ( warontherocks.com )

The Russia contingency has posted a special 2-part episode . Part One can be found here and is publicly available. Part Two is available only to War on the Rocks members, but I have summarized key takeaways below. I recommend listening to Part One first, then reading through Part Two for the in-depth analysis....

“Production Is Deterrence” ( www.cnas.org )

CNAS takes a critical look at the current state of the US munitions stockpile and finds a number of improvements that could improve the volume and stability of the munitions supply chain. While the article itself is a good summary of the findings, the report it is based on is attached at the bottom of the article and is worth...

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