I mean a war with Taiwan would ruin China and likely lead to a nuclear escalation. Taiwan has the capabilitys to make nukes within a year and so does South Korea and Japan…
Additionally, the inscription “1941” was changed to “1939” - the year when World War II began.
Why it was 1941-1945, for context, from wiki:
On 9 April 2015, the Ukrainian parliament replaced the term Great Patriotic War (1941–1945) (Velyka vitchyzniana viina) in the country’s law with the “Second World War (1939–1945)” (Druha svitova viina), as part of a set of decommunization laws. Also in 2015, Ukraine’s “Victory Day over Nazism in World War II” was established as a national holiday in accordance with the law of “On Perpetuation of Victory over Nazism in World War II 1939–1945”. The new holiday is celebrated on May 8 and replaces the Soviet-Russian Victory Day, which is celebrated on May 9. These laws were adopted by the Ukrainian parliament on April 9 2015 within the package of laws on decommunization.
“Great Patriotic War” is the fine conceit of historical revisionism that lets the Russians neatly overlook the unpleasant little detail that WW II started with the Soviets fighting as cobelligerents with Nazi Germany to invade Poland.
War takes longer than you expect it will. Take that to heart. It will last a surprisingly long time. 4-5 years at minimum and I'm sorry to say it but at a certain point if Putin isn't overthrown Ukraine is OBVIOUSLY going to get nuked. I fucking hate this war. Peace in the east.
I think the slowness makes it less likely that Ukraine will be nuked. If each Russian loss is a relatively small one then escalation to nukes keeps being an unwarranted escalation.
If you really want to watch out for it, then we might see an elevated risk when the Russian defense lines crumble and we see another rapid advance like what happened with Kharkiv.
I think Russian generals would mutiny before signing a death wish for their country by launching a nuke.
Either way, this war has already been a massive failure for russia. They were planning to take Kyiv in a week, annex some territory, and possibly install a puppet government before going back to business as usual.
If the war ended today with a Russian victory, it would be a pyrrhic victory for them. I feel like anything short of that will end with the overthrow of Putin. Their best chance of success is to keep meddling with the west in an attempt to sabotage Ukraine's support.
Think of it as one of thousands of steps forward. While I would hesitate to call it decisive, forcing troop redeployments is always good and shows who is in control of the battlefield. You don’t want to be a reactionary force, is my point.
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