Overzeetop

@[email protected]

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Overzeetop,

AI does have little to do with it, but we can’t do housing the way people want housing. The land does not exist in sufficient quantity, in the desired areas, without other strings attached (such as private ownership). And it would still take a decade to build it all because there aren’t enough tradespeople in the places where you want the housing built.

Overzeetop,

“Y’all come here an’ look at 'dis 'fore I calculate it!”

Overzeetop,

I won’t argue that AI won’t solve the housing problem. And I agree that we can build a bunch of housing. But it won’t be where people want to live, or it won’t be affordable. I’ve got people in my town screaming for affordable housing. Even with subsidies its hard to get things going when the local municipality is practically bending over backwards. Why? Because it has to be on a bus line. It has to be within walking distance of X services. And all the land that fits those criteria is millions of dollars an acre. Even if you could find them, the contractors can’t find enough qualified, reliable workers at premium rates to service their million dollar home builds. I’m in the industry and I don’t care how much “will power” you have; short of taking land through eminent domain and using it for free, you won’t have anyplace that meets any kind of criteria for livability. Hell, I could go buy 1000 acres just an hour down the road for $1M and put up 10,000 houses that only cost $50k each to build. Thing is, nobody is going to buy them. There is literally no demand, even for cheap housing, that takes an hour drive to get anywhere useful - and if you get closer in, you won’t find land that’s affordable. Heck, by the time I extended infrastructure to them or built it out, it would be 3-4 years before the first resident could move in, and that’s with zero delay on any governmental paperwork.

Overzeetop,

Severability is standard boilerplate. As is waiving of all liability (essentially in perpetuity, even if not stated as such), incidental and consequential damage, and indemnification of the writing party against any and all claims. This is a mole hill on the landscape of click-through licensing fuckery.

Overzeetop,

At this point, I think my pavlov-like reaction to Thursdays and grabbing the free games is the game now. I know full well I’ll never play these games.

Overzeetop,

Yeah, it’s high on my list. Along with a half dozen other AAAs from the last decade. I think Cyberpunk is next on my list, though there’s a Fallout languishing on my Deck I keep meaning to go back to.

Overzeetop,

It is. There are exactly zero mutually acceptable scenarios.

Overzeetop,

Still cheaper than switching to Linux, even if the price were high.

Overzeetop,

lol- yup. It’s free in the same way that building your own house is free. Which is true if you already have the skills and free time. And even if you’re light on skills there’s tons of YouTube videos and forums where you can get any technical data you need. Right?

Overzeetop,

You can’t have a transaction without mining. Mining is the work done to solve a batch of transactions, so the exact cost of a transaction is easy to determine provided that you don’t include the cost of plant (buildings and IT to run the miners, though this is usually very minor compared to the actual calculation consumption). Each block contains (typically) between 3000 and 4000 transactions and is solved every 10 minutes. As of today, it takes 2.6GWh to solve a block, given the current number of miners (137TWh/yr per digiconomist.net/bitcoin-energy-consumption), which is 744kWh per transaction at 3500 transactions per block.

The cost of a Visa transaction is more difficult because there are people involved and other plant costs (buildings to house the people who work for Visa). The actual cost to process a Visa transaction, in direct transactional power usage, is trivial because a Raspberry Pi can “process” hundreds of thousands of transactions a second locally - it’s literally a couple hundred bytes of login/query/reply data, and adding or subtracting from a ledger which is mirrored to distributed servers. Distributed across a server with enough transactions to keep it busy it’s probably a few hundred milliseconds on 1/8 of a 50W processor - call it 0.001Wh at the server, which is the equivalent of the 700kWh per bitcoin transaction. If we say that there are 10 machines all doing the same virtual transaction on each physical transaction (incl. POS, backup, billing, etc) and we figure a 5:1 cost of total power (a/c, losses, memory, storage) then we’re all the way up to 0.00005kWh (0.05 Wh, or 180 watt-seconds) per transaction. That means that the overall cost for visa to process your charge is 1.5kWh/0.00005kWh for the computers or 30,000:1 due to humans being involved in the process.

Here’s the thing, though: Bitcoin gets harder (more compute intensive) as time goes on, and the rate of increase is faster than the ability to solve, on a Wh basis. IE - Bitcoin transactions will get more expensive over time unless bitcoin changes their code - and there is always resistance to that because there is a financial disincentive to reduce the work in Proof of Work systems. This is mitigated on other blockchains by using Proof of Stake, but that has other implications. Visa, otoh, is taking advantage of AI and drops in processor and storage costs to lower their per-transaction cost because there is a financial incentive to reduce processing costs as the fees charged are fixed (nominally 3% of the transaction cost) and anything left over is profit.

Overzeetop,

Again, it would take a substantial change to the code or reality. The options are to change the block size (more transactions per block), alter the difficulty curve (which is intended to limit growth in the limited bitcoin supply), alter the way blocks are solved (massive theoretical mathematical breakthrough or, possibly, a move from asic to quantum computing), or switch away from proof of work. The first increases the storage of the blockchain (substantially for a substantial reduction), rewrite - and get approval - to change the difficulty steps which had been a hallmark of the system, the third is magical thinking, and the fourth completely undermines the egalitarian ethos of the coin.

I’ve heard of no substantive move on any front to alter the plan because, for now, it working. And the true believers are generally libertarians who have faith that market forces will correct any shortcomings organically. This usually results in everything working perfectly right up until it doesn’t, at which point the wheels come off and the bus slams into the class of kindergarteners crossing the road.

Overzeetop,

the whole network could be run with a cleverly configured raspberry pi

Which would defeat the entire purpose of a distributed blockchain. I’m ribbing you, of course, on that ;-) Bitcoin was not built for efficiency and the very basis of distributed proof of work trades efficiency for security. The more “successful” it gets, the larger the incentive to waste power in a fight to win each block reward becomes - by design.

Overzeetop,

“Political satire became obsolete when Henry Kissinger was awarded the Nobel peace prize.” -Tom Lehrer

How do you prevent burnout at work?

I have a friend with ADHD who is struggling with burnout at work right now, and I realized the same thing has happened to me (autism) at pretty much every job I’ve had before my current one. After a while (a few months to a few years) the workplace politics becomes unbearable, or culture becomes too toxic, or managers straight...

Overzeetop,

After a while (a few months to a few years) the workplace politics becomes unbearable, or culture becomes too toxic, or managers straight up ignore our feedback.

In all likelihood, these are not time-variable conditions. When you first start you don’t know about the politics - who’s going behind your back to sabotage you, who’s a climber, who is getting preferential treatment from management or HR. Ignorance is bliss. As you learn what terrible people you work with you find their existence to make the workplace “toxic.” And it doesn’t matter where you work - there will be terrible people, just different grades and distributions. Finally, the managers were ignoring your feedback from day one - they just pretended that you mattered so that you would settle in and become part of the machine. It’s basic onboarding.

This isn’t going to help you, but I quit and started my own business. It was…challenging. Prior to that, I found routines and resets in my daily work which let me (mostly) ignore the noise. Most were mental, setting timers to focus on tasks; learning to be a non-joiner with tact; roll with the sameness and view the work as “just a job”. Some were physical, like eating lunch quickly and spending the rest of my half hour lying down in my car.

I should say that I still get burnout, even though I’m a one-person consulting company. I recognize that my focus comes and goes and I when I get a manic period I try to push though work to “get ahead” (or at least catch up). More importantly, I try to recognize when my energy is flagging and not try to push through it. I let myself have the afternoon off. Two years ago I started taking an “admin” week every quarter. I put a message on my phone that I’m in training or in meetings (so people think I’m “working”) but I mostly just clean up the office, get personal project done around the house, and generally reset my focus. Sometimes I even do a little online training. Specifically - I don’t go away on vacation. Vacation doesn’t reset me like removing the life clutter that builds up when I’m busy at work and can’t get to (or are too tired to) do the peripheral things. I fully recognize that this is not really a valuable strategy for a most jobs, but if you have a certain amount of autonomy and you’re getting your deadlines met otherwise, scheduling some “training” time might be good. Just make it as regular as possible - put it in your year’s calendar on Jan 1. For me, it’s my reward for getting things done, and if I don’t make it a hard commitment, I’ll just move it - and it will never happen.

Overzeetop,

removing/reducing

The kids still have exposure, but the total load is reduced allowing the body to see and react to the infectious elements without being overwhelmed. All of the “but it’s nature” fanatics should remember that the million years of evolution we have survived with exposure was done without enclosed, poorly ventilated boxes. And within the historical record, the some of the greatest failures of our “natural” immune system prior to vaccines and antibiotics have generally occurred when we enclosed people into poorly ventilated, densely packed communities. (though many failures come from drinking our own poo…usually due to densely packed populations with unregulated water standards/supplies)

Overzeetop,

May I suggest Concepts? In over a decade of searching for a pencil-on-paper analog, it’s as close as I’ve found and it’s dropped my paper usage from over 1000 sheets a year to under 50. There’s a $10 (one time) cost for pdf import and export. The canvas is “infinite” but you can import a PSF of your favorite note-taking sheet, with or without guide lines/grid (or use the apps customizable grid), and copy it about the space. Then, when exporting, export just the PDF areas (The sheets/outlines you imported) into a single, paginated PDF file.

It’s available for iOS, android, and windows, though the three versions do not have synchronized feature and the files are incompatible across platforms (for now, at least). There are other paid add-ons, but I’ve not found them necessary or useful for note taking.

Overzeetop,

Fair enough, though the app is stand-alone. AFAIK there’s no sync function (I’m iOS/Windows). The files are local and export is to whatever filesystem is on the device (iOS allows any connected cloud service).

Overzeetop,

I’m always surprised that nobody worries about the random long-chain polymers created in the seasoning process which are then released into your food as you cook.

Overzeetop,

Yes, many long chain polymers are carcinogens. That makes them bad. Long chain polymers are what make commercial non-stick pans non-stick. Note: they are different long chain polymers, but still just a bunch of polymer hydrocarbons because…that’s what makes both of them non-stick.

Overzeetop,

Thanks for the great ride!

Dragged 20 feet vs a beautiful golden parachute. They really do live in an alternate reality.

Overzeetop,

Yeah, I’m with you and it’s keeping me from really starting a new game. I got back into gaming with Elite Dangerous and got a kick out of the hours of offline research (because the in-game tools were fucking terrible when they even existed). It took me a while to get past the cool graphics and flight, but it got boring and tedious managing stuff. I failed to start Witcher 3 twice before just diving in and deciding I was going to not figure out anything and just play. It’s a far more forgiving system than most, and the gameplay benefits from it (to the suffering of realism).

While I enjoy the games, I loathe the min-max and inventory management necessary in most games. That’s not technically necessary if you spend a couple hundred hours perfecting technique. While that’s less than a month for a full time gamer, it’s about 5 years of play time in my life, so I end up looking up some obscure bit on line and chasing crafting for no good reason except to make my gaming time no fun. As a result, most of my SteamDeck time has been on simple arcade shooters and a couple of card-combat games. It’s frustrating to know there are good games out there if I just had 20-30 hours to get into them, and also knowing that I’ll have 20-30 hours free on a regular basis only when I retire some day. I guess my nursing home days will have lots of content, so I’ve got that going for me.

Is there such a thing as a privacy-respecting secret Santa platform?

I’ve been doing secret Santa with my family the last few years, but the webapps we use are always so annoying to use. You get an email every time your giftee updates their list or answers a question, but you need to sign in to the ad-riddled platform to see what is going on. You can make a wishlist, but only through links to...

Overzeetop,

Oh, fine - if you’re going to just Willy nilly divulge your (checks notes) family Secret Santa present list to just anyone. You may as well write your medical history with a nude picture of yourself on a postcard and send it via UPS to People Magazine!!1!

Overzeetop,

LOL. CEOs aren’t going to be using AI for themselves; they have the money to hire teams of people (who will use, but vet, AI output) and provide specialized, boutique assistance. Instead, they will be forcing you and I to use AI because it costs them less money to serve us.

Robots and AI are orders of magnitude cheaper to run than humans, and have been for decades. ATMs are robots. Earthmoving equipment is robots. Computer software is a type of robot - from word processing to CAD to calculators. Mostly human controlled - as will the foreseeable future robots - but requiring fewer and fewer humans to do a set amount of labor (physical or mental).

What is the biggest push right now? Automated driving. What is the largest job sector in a majority of the US states? Delivery driver. There are fears of automated drivers missing edge cases and hitting pedestrians and (clutch your pearls) children. Over 40,000 people and over 1000 children were killed in the US by human drivers just last year. 3 Adults and 3 children were killed in Ohio just this week when a tractor trailer plowed into two passenger vehicles and a school bus because the driver wasn’t paying attention. The simplest impact detection “robot” could have prevented that. AI is already better, on average, than humans - it’s only our sense / belief in self determination that we erroneously think that we are (on average) better than a machine. And AI/ML/Automated drivers will improve with time, whereas humans are explicitly getting worse as we are offered more and more distractions in our daily lives.

AI/ML/Robots are already being implemented in the US Government (I know people who are doing it). They are coming for your job. They’re coming for my job. It’s only hubris that makes us think we are outrunning our digital competitors. The question is if we (through governments and regulation) will benefit from it or become destitute by it.

Overzeetop,

I sat in a conference room with 300+ other professionals in my field and they laughed that AI could take their jobs. I’m on the “top” of that pile of practitioners - I make my living in the niche where I’m the old expert who gets called in when nobody else can figure out a solution, or in the ordinary job to make sure it’s done right the first time. Easily 80% of my job could be replaced by AI, if my industry were a big enough cherry to pick. Luckily for them (and me) it’s not. For my industry the danger is that the AI will “solve” the problem of newly graduated professionals - the people who learn on the normal ways so that they can grow old and become the experts who understand the basics and work on the hard, unique conditions. If AI displaces the graduates so that I can increase my profits through a lower employee count, it’s really just shortchanging society 30 years down the road when we won’t have humans with hands on experience. That’s the societal danger we face if we aren’t careful. You and I can got on top of this, but if nobody behind us can there will be a gap in knowledge. (I’m re-reading Azimov’s Foundation series. It feels a lot less like the idle entertainment it did when I read it as a teenager)

Overzeetop,

Posting anonymously can allow people to protect themselves

There it is. A knife can be used to prepare dinner as easily as it can kill a man.

Anonymity doesn’t cause hate or aggression, it enables it by removing consequences. The hate and aggression has always been there, it now has an outlet where the aggressor can be offensive without repercussion and still see the reaction from others.

Overzeetop,

I just hope Gaza can hold out long enough for Trump to win the US presidency and restore peace to the region. Only Jared Kushner has the knowledge and charisma to bring the two sides into harmony like he did in 2019.

Overzeetop,

That’s actually surprising. I would think damage to lower extremities (delicate knee joints) would be far more severe from a concentrated impact area than a large area impact distributed over the entire body - when it occurs with a low speed impact.

Overzeetop,

I guess that’s the question. For low speed impacts the body is pretty well protected compared to the lower extremities because the energy of impact is more readily absorbed without serious damage.

Overzeetop,

I tend to agree with you, of course, but I wonder if the large study were re-run with mass as the cause it would show similar distribution against the 6000lb+ vehicles. Mass tends to reduce braking deceleration and I didn’t see that as an explicit parameter. The “cause” is more salient to the second, smaller study which shows the “kneecap and hood carry” physics reduced hip and head injuries compated to the “body block and throw” mechanics of the flat- fronted cars.

Not to defend the Mack-Truck styling - I don’t disagree at all with the smaller impact study - I question the original implied hypothesis that the prevalence of large flat fronts as the cause of increase in deaths following the nadir in 2009. Of course anecdotes are not evidence, but I live in a college town and have since 2000 and the actions of pedestrians have changed substantially over the years. Specifically, the advent of smartphones has resulted in risky behavior both in pedestrians and behind the wheel. In 2009 less than 20% of phones were “smart.” Few of those were connected to the internet and fewer still to social media and entertainment services. Since then, the prevalence has increased to 80% and the consumption of media by orders of magnitude (measured by data usage and hours engaged). The original study implies the increase in pedestrian death solely due to nose geometry, but the quantity of impacts and conditions may not be as causative as the article seems to claim.

Overzeetop,

I enjoy using one of the most carbon-intensive and nearly-non-recyclable materials(concrete) available to build my green future. Look at me, I’m so high tech!

Overzeetop,

I’m always wary of “carbon neutral” claims or schemes comparted to a zero carbon process. Zero carbon generally refers to processes which emit no carbon dioxide, whereas carbon neutral tends to means that they emit as much carbon dioxide as they always have, but are either attempting to sequester it or offset the carbon somewhere else.

If it were important enough to create a sequestration project or use an alternative form of energy which didn’t release carbon dioxide, we could have shut down the carbon producing process and implemented those climate benefits. It’s like taking a multi-vitamin each day but continuing to drink a fifth of Jack Daniels every weekend instead of just switching to drinking water. You should really try and cut down on the alcohol and consider drinking more water, no matter how good it is to take the multi-vitamin.

Overzeetop,

The problem is not TikTok, it’s people who are easily influenced and distracted by sensationalist content. I will tell you that TikTok is nothing but vocal and instrumental entertainment with some stand-up comedy and British sit-com style clips, but that’s because I don’t follow or wander off into political discourse or “news” areas.

Overzeetop,

You do realize you’re getting fed that content because you interact with it, right? I get the odd run of uninteresting content, too; I don’t interact with it because it’s not what I want to watch.

Overzeetop,

Every for-profit platform does this. Every product package on the shelf does this. It works because someone always finds a way around the prohibition, and we are shirking it responsibility of teaching others-everyone- how to identify it. Magic tricks don’t become uninteresting by making them illegal, they become uninteresting by telling everyone how they work.

Overzeetop,

It’s the same as Apple devices. You save something and it puts it where it can be found the same way you saved it…but not necessarily where you think it should be or where it makes sense. The entire ecosystem (both of them) are designed to be insular - you stay in the box and things just work. Yes, people have lost stuff in both cases - usually through their own fault, or the fault of someone who doesn’t actually understand how the system was set up to work.

If we treated MS the way most users treat Apple, there would be little concern. You turn on the device, do things using the MS core apps, and when you go to set up a new device all your stuff auto-populates. It’s just that Windows users tend to muck around with things, use non-Microsoft software, and - especially long time users - expect things to be where they used to be. In trying to make their system more streamlined (and Apple-like, both insular and user-friendly), but allowing the system to be used in a more traditional, manual fashion, you can make things go bad. It’s like adding an automatic transmission to a car but leaving the manual clutch - it can only end in tears.

Overzeetop,

advanced settings

I agree. However, for the “what’s a computer?” crowd, manually adjusting the screen brightness is pretty advanced. They intentionally obfuscate settings they (a) don’t want people messing with - like the ability to show the entire right-click context or uninstalling Candy Crush and (b) which are likely to lead to screwing up their system - like entering their own namerserver IP address or opening ports in the firewall. Still, if I were in a room with Hitler and the person who decided to create the Settings app without all the control panel functions included, and had a gun with only had one bullet, Hitler would still be alive.

Overzeetop,

If you were to send him a get-well basket of fruit, would you include or exclude apples?

Overzeetop,

It’s a very nice logo. And it lights up. Hard to argue with their pricing, really.

Overzeetop, (edited )

a toy for professional workloads

[rant]

I think this is one of those words which has lost its meaning in the personal computer world. What are people doing with computers these days? Every single technology reviewer is, well, a reviewer - a journalist. The heaviest workload that computer will ever see is Photoshop, and 98% of the time will be spent in word processing at 200 words per minute or on a web browser. A mid-level phone from 2016 can do pretty much all of that work without skipping a beat. That’s “professional” work these days.

The heavy loads Macs are benchmarked to lift are usually video processing. Which, don’t get me wrong, is compute intensive - but modern CPU designers have recognized that they can’t lift that load in general purpose registers, so all modern chips have secondary pipelines which are essentially embedded ASICs optimized for very specific tasks. Video codecs are now, effectively, hardcoded onto the chips. Phone chips running at <3W TDP are encoding 8K60 in realtime and the cheapest i series Intel x64 chips are transcoding a dozen 4K60 streams while the main CPU is idle 80% of the time.

Yes, I get bent out of shape a bit over the “professional” workload claims because I work in an engineering field. I run finite elements models and, while sparce matrix solutions have gotten faster over the years, it’s still a CPU intensive process and general (non video) matrix operations aren’t really gaining all that much speed. Worse, I work in an industry with large, complex 2D files (PDFs with hundreds of 100MP images and overlain vector graphics) and the speed of rendering hasn’t appreciably changed in several years because there’s no pipeline optimization for it. People out there doing CFD and technical 3D modeling as well as other general compute-intensive tasks on what we used to call “workstations” are the professional applications which need real computational speed - and they’re/we’re just getting speed ratio improvements and the square root of the number of cores, when the software can even parallelize at all. All these manufacturers can miss me with the “professional” workloads of people surfing the web and doing word processing.

[\rant]

Overzeetop,

Indeed! It makes the benchmarks that much more disingenuous since pros will end up CPU crunching. I find video production tedious (it’s a skill issue/PEBKAC, really) so I usually just let the GPU (nvenc) do it to save time. ;-)

Overzeetop,

lol - I love when this gets (re-) posted periodically. The first time I read it I was thinking “out in the desert” when it said it was outside Phoenix. It’s not. It’s a single block (1 street x 1 ave) of space *in the middle of Tempe Arizona * with a 4 lane highway on one side. This is not a “no car utopia,” it’s a more-profit apartment complex that is using the “walkable city” greenwashing to cover the entire parcel with dense apartments (and limited, doomed retail) and not have to set aside mandatory parking to cut into profits. Last I looked, a 3BR rental was something like $35k-40k a year in rent.

Don’t get me wrong - the concept is nice, with good massing around the alleys and public spaces. This took planning. And it’s ~1/2 or 3/4 mile walk to a pretty major shopping area (across said 4 lane highway and a massive parking area at the mall). And that last part is good because there aren’t enough units in this development to support more than 1-2 restaurants and a bodega…it’s only about 1/4 to 1/3 the population needed to support a standard grocery store. And - as advertised- there’s no parking and Tempe isn’t walkable so you’re not getting any substantial outside customer traffic.

Overzeetop,

It is illegal to use copyrighted material

It’s illegal to reproduce copyrighted material*. That includes changing the format as well as things which fall under “derivative” works, but not creating a new work in the style of someone else’s (unless it falls under the derivative definition). Many voice impersonators exist and the way you impersonate a voice is to listen to (usually) recordings of that person and practice producing the same sounds that they use for common phonemes (as well as vocal tract shape and larynx positioning to alter the vocal pitch production and overtones which represent vowel shapes). ML does, effectively the same thing without requiring a human to do the listening and practicing.

That said, I think this type of use should be strictly prohibited. In fact, I think it should have severe criminal penalties for any specific voice, not just celebrities. Having the ability to simulate accurate, regional-sounded voices is extremely valuable in the general sense, but imitating or mimicking a specific person’s voice without their explicit consent and/or direction has very few, if any, legitimate uses.

  • I didn’t think that voice mimicking would count as valid for any law, but Google tells me of the “Right of Publicity” and there is (again according to Google) case law involving Ford and Bette Midler. So while it’s not a copyright violation to reproduce a voice, it may still run afoul of some laws.
Overzeetop,

The equity is merely an estimate; it’s no longer a traded company so a public valuation is not applicable. The value is still a valid valuation, just as DJT’s valuation of his properties were “valid,” but it’s not as if you can sell portions of the company tomorrow to generate cash that will settle in three days, like you could with Tesla. And the debt is secured by the $19B valuation, so it’s not in addition to the equity; the company is “worth” $19B but caries a debt burden of $13B making it’s liquidation value $6B (not really book value since that includes “good will” and “future performance”, not just the value of it’s real, personal, and intangible/code/patent properties).

Overzeetop,

Considering that Threads was not trademarked by Meta before their launch (or, at least, isn’t listed on their Trademarks page ) it is a massive fail on their legal department.

Overzeetop,

The Foundation series by Azimov. I read it when I was a teenager and remembered very little. It’s a lot scarier today.

Overzeetop,

Well, now you’re making me want to go back into the series. I liked the premise of the first, but found the writing foreign - which, hey, it is! I felt like I really should read more everyday Chinese fiction as I didn’t understand a lot of the nuance and it felt less polished (to my American sensibilities) as a result.

Overzeetop,

Nearly all of those books are nice, quick reads. I read them before playing Witcher 3 and watching the NF series first season. It greatly enhanced the game; it made me dislike the screenplay version.

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